Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.423030 0.488068 0.558825 0.641393 0.734971 0.837601 0.958550
2025-09-14 0.303034 0.389390 0.492661 0.624672 0.788293 0.983740 1.234134
2025-09-21 0.234791 0.327166 0.445707 0.607735 0.821999 1.094016 1.463617
2025-09-28 0.190027 0.283440 0.410574 0.594210 0.850215 1.191582 1.677713
2025-10-05 0.165720 0.262088 0.400002 0.608745 0.912925 1.335430 1.960865
2025-10-12 0.150995 0.251515 0.401882 0.638965 0.997958 1.514418 2.304665
2025-10-19 0.135496 0.237007 0.395292 0.654534 1.061251 1.665530 2.618505
2025-10-26 0.120674 0.221152 0.384117 0.660760 1.109418 1.796289 2.910198
2025-11-02 0.106763 0.204648 0.369519 0.659119 1.143782 1.907002 3.177542
2025-11-09 0.093657 0.187581 0.351698 0.649642 1.163542 1.994902 3.413729
2025-11-16 0.082545 0.172493 0.335315 0.640390 1.181908 2.080557 3.650578
2025-11-23 0.071344 0.155599 0.313615 0.619148 1.177124 2.126647 3.824143
2025-11-30 0.068273 0.154472 0.321109 0.652051 1.271153 2.347232 4.308463
2025-12-07 0.059501 0.140503 0.302688 0.634877 1.273693 2.411180 4.530307
2025-12-14 0.051931 0.127903 0.285347 0.617672 1.274082 2.470466 4.746824
2025-12-21 0.045708 0.117290 0.270671 0.603944 1.279334 2.538007 4.981389
2025-12-28 0.042751 0.113687 0.270141 0.618697 1.340772 2.712265 5.420489
2026-01-04 0.041348 0.113553 0.277000 0.649367 1.436045 2.955667 6.002074
2026-01-11 0.038882 0.110456 0.276938 0.665167 1.502220 3.147618 6.497975
2026-01-18 0.035969 0.105788 0.272765 0.671485 1.549064 3.304778 6.936262
2026-01-25 0.032832 0.100045 0.265395 0.669820 1.578648 3.429333 7.317851
2026-02-01 0.029548 0.093381 0.255030 0.660202 1.590136 3.518017 7.633457
2026-02-08 0.026627 0.087250 0.245220 0.650813 1.601146 3.606020 7.952287